Ko simbi yepasi rose inoda shanduko sei muna 2023?Zvinoenderana nemhedzisiro yakaburitswa neMetallurgical Indasitiri Kuronga uye Tsvagiridzo Institute nguva pfupi yadarika, kudiwa kwesimbi kwepasi rose muna 2023 kucharatidza hunhu hunotevera:
Asia.Muna 2022, kukura kwehupfumi hweAsia kuchasangana nematambudziko makuru pasi pesimba rekuomeswa kwemamiriro ehupfumi hwenyika, gakava riri pakati peRussia neUkraine, uye kudzikira kwekukura kwehupfumi hweChina.Tichitarisa kumberi ku2023, Asia iri pachinhanho chakanaka chekusimudzira hupfumi hwenyika, uye inotarisirwa kupinda mudanho rekuderera nekukurumidza mukukwira kwemitengo, uye kukura kwayo kwehupfumi kuchapfuura mamwe matunhu.IInternational Monetary Fund (IMF) inotarisira kuti hupfumi hweAsia huchakura ne 4.3% muna 2023. Maererano nemutongo wakazara, kudiwa kwesimbi yeAsia muna 2023 inenge mabhiriyoni 1.273 matani, kusvika 0.5% gore negore.
Europe.Mushure mekupokana, kusawirirana kwepasi rose, simba uye mitengo yechikafu iri kuramba ichikwira, muna 2023 hupfumi hweEurope huchasangana nematambudziko makuru uye kusagadzikana, kukwira kwemitengo kwakanyanya kunokonzerwa nekuderera kwekuita kwehupfumi, kushomeka kwesimba kwematambudziko ekusimudzira maindasitiri, kukwira kwemitengo yekurarama. uye kuvimba kwekudyara kwemakambani kuchave kusimudzira kwehupfumi hweEurope.Mumutongo wakadzama, kudiwa kwesimbi kuEurope muna 2023 kunosvika mamirioni zana nemakumi mapfumbamwe nematatu, zvichidzika ne1.4% gore negore.
South America.Muna 2023, zvichidzikiswa nekukwira kwemitengo kwepasi kwakakwira, nyika zhinji dzeSouth America dzichasangana nedzvinyiriro huru yekumutsiridza hupfumi hwadzo, kudzora kukwira kwemitengo nekugadzira mabasa, uye kukura kwehupfumi hwadzo kuchadzikira.I International Monetary Fund inofanotaura kuti hupfumi hweSouth America huchakura ne 1.6% muna 2023. Pakati pavo, zvivakwa, dzimba uye magetsi ekugadzirisa mapurojekiti, zviteshi, mafuta uye gasi zvirongwa zvinotarisirwa kusimuka, zvichitungamirirwa neBrazilian simbi kudiwa, zvakananga kutungamirira kune rebound mukudiwa kwesimbi muSouth America.Pakazara, kudiwa kwesimbi muSouth America kwakasvika anenge mamiriyoni 42.44 matani, kusvika 1.9% gore negore.
Africa.Hupfumi hweAfrica hwakakura nekukurumidza muna 2022. Nekuda kwegakava riri pakati peRussia neUkraine, mitengo yemafuta yemafuta pasi rose yakakwira zvakanyanya, uye dzimwe nyika dzemuEurope dzakaisa simba radzo kuAfrica, izvo zvave kusimudzira hupfumi hweAfrica.
Sangano reInternational Monetary Fund rinofanotaura kuti hupfumi hweAfrica huchakura nezvikamu zvitatu nemazana manomwe kubva muzana gore negore muna 2023. Nekukwira kwemitengo yemafuta uye nenhamba huru yezvivakwa zvezvivakwa zvakatangwa, kudiwa kwesimbi yemuAfrica kunotarisirwa kusvika matani 41.3 miriyoni muna 2023, zvichikwira ne5.1% gore gore.
kuMiddle East.Muna 2023, kusimuka kwehupfumi kuMiddle East kuchaenderana nemitengo yemafuta epasi rose, matanho ekuvharirwa, huwandu hwemitemo yekutsigira kukura, uye matanho ekudzikisa kukuvadzwa kwehupfumi kwakakonzerwa nedenda.Panguva imwecheteyo, geopolitics nezvimwe zvinhu zvichaunzawo kusagadzikana mukusimudzira hupfumi hweMiddle East.IInternational Monetary Fund inofanotaura kuti Middle East ichakura ne5% muna 2023. Maererano nemutongo wakazara, kudiwa kwesimbi kuMiddle East muna 2023 kunosvika mamiriyoni makumi mashanu nematatu, kusvika 2% gore negore.
Oceania.Nyika huru dzekushandisa simbi muOceania iAustralia neNew Zealand.Muna 2022, chiitiko chehupfumi cheAustralia chakapora zvishoma nezvishoma, uye chivimbo chebhizinesi chakawedzera.Hupfumi hweNew Zealand hwapora, nekuda kwekudzoreredza mumasevhisi uye kushanya.The International Monetary Fund inofanotaura kuti Australia neNew Zealand zvose zvichakura ne 1.9% muna 2023. Maererano nehuwandu hwehuwandu, Oceania simbi inodiwa muna 2023 inenge mamiriyoni 7.10 matani, kusvika 2.9% gore negore.
Kubva pamaonero ekufanotaura kwekuchinja kwekudiwa kwesimbi mumatunhu makuru epasi, muna 2022, kushandiswa kwesimbi muAsia, Europe, nyika dzeCommonwealth of Independent States neSouth America zvese zvakaratidza kudzikira.Pakati pavo, nyika dzeCIS dzaive dzakanyanya kukanganiswa nekukakavadzana pakati peRussia neUkraine, uye kubudirira kwehupfumi hwenyika dziri munharaunda yacho kwakavhiringidzika zvikuru, uye kushandiswa kwesimbi kunowira ne8,8% gore negore.Kushandiswa kwesimbi muNorth America, Africa, Middle East neOceania kwakaratidza kukwira kumusoro, nekukura kwegore negore kwe0.9%, 2.9%, 2.1% uye 4.5% maererano.Muna 2023, kudiwa kwesimbi munyika dzeCIS neEurope kunotarisirwa kuramba kuchidzikira, nepo kudiwa kwesimbi mune mamwe matunhu kuchawedzera zvishoma.
Kubva pakuchinja kwesimbi kudiwa patani munzvimbo dzakasiyana-siyana, muna 2023, Asia simbi kudiwa munyika icharamba yakapoteredza 71%;kudiwa kwesimbi muEurope neNorth America kucharamba kuri kwechipiri uye kwechitatu, kudiwa kwesimbi muEurope kuchadonha ne 0.2 kubva muzana kusvika 10.7%, North America simbi inodiwa ichawedzera ne 0.3 muzana kusvika 7.5%.Muna 2023, kudiwa kwesimbi munyika dzeCIS kuchaderera kusvika 2.8%, kuenzaniswa neMiddle East;kuti muAfrica neSouth America zvichawedzera kusvika 2.3% uye 2.4% zvichiteerana.
Pakazara, maererano nekuongorora kwekusimudzira hupfumi hwenyika nedunhu uye kudiwa kwesimbi, kudiwa kwesimbi kwepasi rose kunotarisirwa kusvika matani bhiriyoni 1.801 muna 2023, nekukura kwegore negore kwe0.4%.
Nguva yekutumira: Jun-26-2023